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That was much worse than expected, and the underlying numbers look weak across the board. - Michael Every Quotes

That was much worse than expected, and the underlying numbers look weak across the board.

The residential housing market is well off its peak now. The Reserve Bank remains on hold for now with domestic demand moderating. - Michael Every Quotes

The residential housing market is well off its peak now. The Reserve Bank remains on hold for now with domestic demand moderating.

These data back the RBA on hold and with a neutral bias for now, with the next move still looking down to us, albeit not until much later in the year. - Michael Every Quotes

These data back the RBA on hold and with a neutral bias for now, with the next move still looking down to us, albeit not until much later in the year.

Since the Reserve Bank of Australia raised rates in March, the housing market has just been going sideways. Rates are on hold until the third quarter of this year. - Michael Every Quotes

Since the Reserve Bank of Australia raised rates in March, the housing market has just been going sideways. Rates are on hold until the third quarter of this year.

Economic growth is slowing, and exporters are already suffering. It is a certainty that fourth-quarter net exports will subtract substantially from GDP growth while the current account deficit will widen further. - Michael Every Quotes

Economic growth is slowing, and exporters are already suffering. It is a certainty that fourth-quarter net exports will subtract substantially from GDP growth while the current account deficit will widen further.

With the import side holding up more strongly than exports for now, the Reserve Bank is unlikely to respond with lower interest rates in the near term. - Michael Every Quotes

With the import side holding up more strongly than exports for now, the Reserve Bank is unlikely to respond with lower interest rates in the near term.

The underlying message from the data is that at the coal face producers are seeing higher costs, but as one moves closer and closer to the consumer these are reduced in both quarter-on-quarter and year-on-year terms. - Michael Every Quotes

The underlying message from the data is that at the coal face producers are seeing higher costs, but as one moves closer and closer to the consumer these are reduced in both quarter-on-quarter and year-on-year terms.

Importantly, we believe that if oil prices drop back from present levels then CPI inflation may already have peaked year on year and should be on the way down over the rest of 2006 - potentially rapidly if oil reverses significantly. - Michael Every Quotes

Importantly, we believe that if oil prices drop back from present levels then CPI inflation may already have peaked year on year and should be on the way down over the rest of 2006 - potentially rapidly if oil reverses significantly.

The odds of a rate increase on Oct. 27 have shortened. The Reserve Bank is extremely worried over whether the economy will slow rapidly enough ahead to cap obvious inflation pressures. It looks increasingly like it will not. - Michael Every Quotes

The odds of a rate increase on Oct. 27 have shortened. The Reserve Bank is extremely worried over whether the economy will slow rapidly enough ahead to cap obvious inflation pressures. It looks increasingly like it will not.

The moderation is certainly very slow in arriving, even allowing for the usual lag in data, and these sectors' problems are clearly being mitigated by a pick-up in business investment and commodity exports. - Michael Every Quotes

The moderation is certainly very slow in arriving, even allowing for the usual lag in data, and these sectors' problems are clearly being mitigated by a pick-up in business investment and commodity exports.

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