There are very early signs of (a manufacturing slowdown), but I don't think they're conclusive enough to halt the Fed from tightening policy further, ... But I think, ultimately, with the economy running hot and inflation on a clear upswing, we see headline inflation moving towards and perhaps even surpassing 3 percent as we head into next year. - Harvinder Kalirai Quotes
There are very early signs of (a manufacturing slowdown), but I don't think they're conclusive enough to halt the Fed from tightening policy further, ... But I think, ultimately, with the economy running hot and inflation on a clear upswing, we see headline inflation moving towards and perhaps even surpassing 3 percent as we head into next year. Harvinder Kalirai
 

More - Harvinder Kalirai Quotes

If you look back to 1994 when the Fed was hiking rates continuously, after every rate hike the Fed adopted a neutral bias. However, the tightening cycle continued until early '95, for a total of 300 basis points (3 percent). We are not looking for that type of tightening cycle this time, but nevertheless it does suggest that the neutral bias does not preclude further rate hikes down the road. - Harvinder Kalirai Quotes

If you look back to 1994 when the Fed was hiking rates continuously, after every rate hike the Fed adopted a neutral bias. However, the tightening cycle continued until early '95, for a total of 300 basis points (3 percent). We are not looking for that type of tightening cycle this time, but nevertheless it does suggest that the neutral bias does not preclude further rate hikes down the road.

Harvinder Kalirai

 
We don't think it'll be enough to halt a move at this month's FOMC meeting. We still look for the Fed go 25 basis points. - Harvinder Kalirai Quotes

We don't think it'll be enough to halt a move at this month's FOMC meeting. We still look for the Fed go 25 basis points.

Harvinder Kalirai

 
We don't think it'll be enough to halt a move at this month's FOMC meeting, ... We still look for the Fed go 25 basis points. - Harvinder Kalirai Quotes

We don't think it'll be enough to halt a move at this month's FOMC meeting, ... We still look for the Fed go 25 basis points.

Harvinder Kalirai

 
I consistently say the Australian dollar is heading higher. Commodities are at the start of a 15- to 20-year bull run. - Harvinder Kalirai Quotes

I consistently say the Australian dollar is heading higher. Commodities are at the start of a 15- to 20-year bull run.

Harvinder Kalirai

 
July was much stronger than expected, but when you factor in the revisions to June, there's only a 0.4 percent increase ... I think these numbers are very close to consensus forecast. - Harvinder Kalirai Quotes

July was much stronger than expected, but when you factor in the revisions to June, there's only a 0.4 percent increase ... I think these numbers are very close to consensus forecast.

Harvinder Kalirai

 
If manufacturing is recovering [from] this drag on growth, which is already strong, it is probably going to raise some concerns at the Fed. - Harvinder Kalirai Quotes

If manufacturing is recovering [from] this drag on growth, which is already strong, it is probably going to raise some concerns at the Fed.

Harvinder Kalirai

 Growth
If the market begins to expect a more imminent end to the Fed's tightening cycle that would certainly remove the interest rate support for the dollar. - Harvinder Kalirai Quotes

If the market begins to expect a more imminent end to the Fed's tightening cycle that would certainly remove the interest rate support for the dollar.

Harvinder Kalirai

 
We think the Fed is going to tighten by the end of August. - Harvinder Kalirai Quotes

We think the Fed is going to tighten by the end of August.

Harvinder Kalirai

 
It highlights the imbalances that [Federal Reserve Chairman Alan] Greenspan has talked about the last several months. If it doesn't correct on its own by, say, the Fed taking the steam out of the bubble, you could have a violent correction and a market crash, and that could be a serious risk to the economy. - Harvinder Kalirai Quotes

It highlights the imbalances that [Federal Reserve Chairman Alan] Greenspan has talked about the last several months. If it doesn't correct on its own by, say, the Fed taking the steam out of the bubble, you could have a violent correction and a market crash, and that could be a serious risk to the economy.

Harvinder Kalirai

 
If the market begins to expect a more imminent end to the Fed's tightening cycle that would certainly remove the interest rate support for the dollar, - Harvinder Kalirai Quotes

If the market begins to expect a more imminent end to the Fed's tightening cycle that would certainly remove the interest rate support for the dollar,

Harvinder Kalirai

 
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