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【TOP 50】Jay Bryson Quotes - WhatsApp Status | Page-1

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Although the [Fed] likely will remain on hold next Tuesday, the ongoing strength of the U.S. economy, which today's data corroborate, may force it into action at a later date. - Jay Bryson Quotes

Although the [Fed] likely will remain on hold next Tuesday, the ongoing strength of the U.S. economy, which today's data corroborate, may force it into action at a later date.

Assuming the spark does not happen, it can go on much longer, ... Nobody wants it to stop. We don't want to contemplate sharply higher rates and prices. The Japanese and Chinese don't want to contemplate it either. - Jay Bryson Quotes

Assuming the spark does not happen, it can go on much longer, ... Nobody wants it to stop. We don't want to contemplate sharply higher rates and prices. The Japanese and Chinese don't want to contemplate it either.

Although durable goods orders bounced back last month, the turnaround is not strong or broad-based enough to prevent the Fed from easing at the Dec. 11 meeting if it feels that another rate cut is appropriate. - Jay Bryson Quotes

Although durable goods orders bounced back last month, the turnaround is not strong or broad-based enough to prevent the Fed from easing at the Dec. 11 meeting if it feels that another rate cut is appropriate.

I imagine we'll move into low 60's (billion dollar range), maybe even mid-60's, in next few months, - Jay Bryson Quotes

I imagine we'll move into low 60's (billion dollar range), maybe even mid-60's, in next few months,

The only thing that the Fed can do to correct the current- account imbalance is to slow the U.S. economy. If you are adding up reasons for why the Fed will keep on tightening, the current-account deficit is on that list. - Jay Bryson Quotes

The only thing that the Fed can do to correct the current- account imbalance is to slow the U.S. economy. If you are adding up reasons for why the Fed will keep on tightening, the current-account deficit is on that list.

Unfortunately, the underlying details [of this report] suggest that it would be premature to break out the champagne. - Jay Bryson Quotes

Unfortunately, the underlying details [of this report] suggest that it would be premature to break out the champagne.

An upward surprise in the (producer price index and consumer price index) would be bad for stocks ... but if you get benign readings (this) week, that gives the Fed the ability to be able to pause if necessary. - Jay Bryson Quotes

An upward surprise in the (producer price index and consumer price index) would be bad for stocks ... but if you get benign readings (this) week, that gives the Fed the ability to be able to pause if necessary.

The markets are reacting to the shock of seeing a jump in import prices. It raises concerns about inflationary pressures, and higher interest rates down the road. - Jay Bryson Quotes

The markets are reacting to the shock of seeing a jump in import prices. It raises concerns about inflationary pressures, and higher interest rates down the road.

In general, a rising rate environment slows down growth, so most companies are not going to go as good as when rates are low. - Jay Bryson Quotes

In general, a rising rate environment slows down growth, so most companies are not going to go as good as when rates are low.

Sooner or later, foreigners will stop financing the deficit. But at this point they show no signs of slowing down. If there were trade barriers that caused Americans to buy significantly less imports, production here would go up a little, but the thing that would take the brunt of the reduction is that our spending would go down as prices went up. We would have less of everything. - Jay Bryson Quotes

Sooner or later, foreigners will stop financing the deficit. But at this point they show no signs of slowing down. If there were trade barriers that caused Americans to buy significantly less imports, production here would go up a little, but the thing that would take the brunt of the reduction is that our spending would go down as prices went up. We would have less of everything.

The insurance payments are going to go away. The outlook remains very bleak. - Jay Bryson Quotes

The insurance payments are going to go away. The outlook remains very bleak.

Imports are about twice as large as exports, so just to stabilize the deficit, exports have to grow twice as fast. That's a pretty tall order. Then you throw oil on top of it. - Jay Bryson Quotes

Imports are about twice as large as exports, so just to stabilize the deficit, exports have to grow twice as fast. That's a pretty tall order. Then you throw oil on top of it.

The lower cost of Chinese goods means we can spend more on other goods and services. - Jay Bryson Quotes

The lower cost of Chinese goods means we can spend more on other goods and services.

People tend to look at core to get a look at overall strength and weakness of the economy, - Jay Bryson Quotes

People tend to look at core to get a look at overall strength and weakness of the economy,

Although little should be made of one month's data, the smaller pace of import decline in November is consistent with other recent data that suggest that U.S. economic activity may be stabilizing. - Jay Bryson Quotes

Although little should be made of one month's data, the smaller pace of import decline in November is consistent with other recent data that suggest that U.S. economic activity may be stabilizing.

The economy in the third quarter had a fair amount of momentum and oil prices were skyrocketing. You are going to see some $60 billion trade figures if for no other reason than the price of oil. - Jay Bryson Quotes

The economy in the third quarter had a fair amount of momentum and oil prices were skyrocketing. You are going to see some $60 billion trade figures if for no other reason than the price of oil.

European governments have a card they could play in the current crisis: token assistance in the rebuilding of Iraq, which would largely stick the United States and the United Kingdom with the entire tab. - Jay Bryson Quotes

European governments have a card they could play in the current crisis: token assistance in the rebuilding of Iraq, which would largely stick the United States and the United Kingdom with the entire tab.

I guess if there's any surprise it's that I would have thought exports would have grown a little more than they did. But in the second quarter everyone else had weaker economies, although more recent signs are that things abroad are picking up. So maybe June was too soon to look for an increase. - Jay Bryson Quotes

I guess if there's any surprise it's that I would have thought exports would have grown a little more than they did. But in the second quarter everyone else had weaker economies, although more recent signs are that things abroad are picking up. So maybe June was too soon to look for an increase.

My expectation was the trade deficit would increase anyway into the low 60 (billion dollar a month) range. A $70 billion (monthly trade gap) sounds like a stretch, but we could be looking at the mid to high 60s now. - Jay Bryson Quotes

My expectation was the trade deficit would increase anyway into the low 60 (billion dollar a month) range. A $70 billion (monthly trade gap) sounds like a stretch, but we could be looking at the mid to high 60s now.

We should see a big increase in oil imports and, given the overall robust demand in the U.S., we are also going to see higher non-oil imports. Over the next few quarters, the deficit is going to get bigger. - Jay Bryson Quotes

We should see a big increase in oil imports and, given the overall robust demand in the U.S., we are also going to see higher non-oil imports. Over the next few quarters, the deficit is going to get bigger.

That seems like a tall feat right now. - Jay Bryson Quotes

That seems like a tall feat right now.

Obviously, this quarterly swing is a one-off event. - Jay Bryson Quotes

Obviously, this quarterly swing is a one-off event.

As [interest] rates rise in foreign economies, U.S. assets may begin to lose some of their luster to foreign investors. - Jay Bryson Quotes

As [interest] rates rise in foreign economies, U.S. assets may begin to lose some of their luster to foreign investors.

The Achilles heel of the U.S. economy is its dependence on foreign capital...which may be the only way that Europe can keep American unilateralism in check, - Jay Bryson Quotes

The Achilles heel of the U.S. economy is its dependence on foreign capital...which may be the only way that Europe can keep American unilateralism in check,

The March CPI data, taken in isolation, likely will have very little impact on near-term Fed policy, - Jay Bryson Quotes

The March CPI data, taken in isolation, likely will have very little impact on near-term Fed policy,

As far as the scorekeeping at the Fed is concerned, today's report will go down in the 'reasons to tighten further' column, - Jay Bryson Quotes

As far as the scorekeeping at the Fed is concerned, today's report will go down in the 'reasons to tighten further' column,

We never had an economic relationship with Russia before the fall of the Berlin Wall, so we could push Russia, and there was never any risk of economic war. Our relationship with China is much more complex. - Jay Bryson Quotes

We never had an economic relationship with Russia before the fall of the Berlin Wall, so we could push Russia, and there was never any risk of economic war. Our relationship with China is much more complex.

A 30 percent appreciation of the yuan over the next year could be a destabilizing blow to their economy. That could lead to political upheaval. I don't know if at the end of the day you want that. And whether it's Wal-Mart or old line U.S. manufacturers or Silicon Valley, there are a lot of U.S. businesses that depend on low-priced Chinese inputs. - Jay Bryson Quotes

A 30 percent appreciation of the yuan over the next year could be a destabilizing blow to their economy. That could lead to political upheaval. I don't know if at the end of the day you want that. And whether it's Wal-Mart or old line U.S. manufacturers or Silicon Valley, there are a lot of U.S. businesses that depend on low-priced Chinese inputs.

Obviously they're getting a lot of flak from Congress and the Europeans as well. It was going to happen at some point anyway. It probably happened sooner than it would have if Congress and the administration hadn't said anything, - Jay Bryson Quotes

Obviously they're getting a lot of flak from Congress and the Europeans as well. It was going to happen at some point anyway. It probably happened sooner than it would have if Congress and the administration hadn't said anything,

Most people expect that the Fed will hike short-term rates more than the 10-year (yield) will go up this year. - Jay Bryson Quotes

Most people expect that the Fed will hike short-term rates more than the 10-year (yield) will go up this year.

The headline number was weaker than what people expected. But when you look down into the underlying details, it's not as weak as what that headline number would suggest. - Jay Bryson Quotes

The headline number was weaker than what people expected. But when you look down into the underlying details, it's not as weak as what that headline number would suggest.

That sliced off about a half a percentage point in growth. - Jay Bryson Quotes

That sliced off about a half a percentage point in growth.

If things start to go really badly in Iraq, and we have a long conflict and have to destroy a lot of infrastructure, that would be very dollar negative because we will get stuck holding a lot of the tab for that, at a time when we have budget deficits going out as far as the eye can see. - Jay Bryson Quotes

If things start to go really badly in Iraq, and we have a long conflict and have to destroy a lot of infrastructure, that would be very dollar negative because we will get stuck holding a lot of the tab for that, at a time when we have budget deficits going out as far as the eye can see.

It shows the labor market is continuing to stabilize. - Jay Bryson Quotes

It shows the labor market is continuing to stabilize.

Labor

The import data are consistent with an economy that is struggling to find its footing. - Jay Bryson Quotes

The import data are consistent with an economy that is struggling to find its footing.

This decline in exports is consistent with other data indicating that economic activity in most foreign countries remained weak at the start of the year. - Jay Bryson Quotes

This decline in exports is consistent with other data indicating that economic activity in most foreign countries remained weak at the start of the year.

The real surprise is the strength in exports. These sharp increases in computer-related exports corroborate recent U.S. industrial-production data that show marked strength in high-tech industries. - Jay Bryson Quotes

The real surprise is the strength in exports. These sharp increases in computer-related exports corroborate recent U.S. industrial-production data that show marked strength in high-tech industries.

People are starting to hedge bets. Obviously it's an uncertain time, - Jay Bryson Quotes

People are starting to hedge bets. Obviously it's an uncertain time,

I would agree that the risk of recession is greater today than it was a month ago. I can certainly think of how we can get to recession. - Jay Bryson Quotes

I would agree that the risk of recession is greater today than it was a month ago. I can certainly think of how we can get to recession.

maybe it's 25 or 30 percent. - Jay Bryson Quotes

maybe it's 25 or 30 percent.

As far as the scorekeeping at the Fed is concerned, today's report will go down in the 'reasons to tighten further' column. - Jay Bryson Quotes

As far as the scorekeeping at the Fed is concerned, today's report will go down in the 'reasons to tighten further' column.

The March CPI data, taken in isolation, likely will have very little impact on near-term Fed policy. - Jay Bryson Quotes

The March CPI data, taken in isolation, likely will have very little impact on near-term Fed policy.

The deficit's probably going to get bigger in the near term. - Jay Bryson Quotes

The deficit's probably going to get bigger in the near term.

The Achilles heel of the U.S. economy is its dependence on foreign capital...which may be the only way that Europe can keep American unilateralism in check. - Jay Bryson Quotes

The Achilles heel of the U.S. economy is its dependence on foreign capital...which may be the only way that Europe can keep American unilateralism in check.

That's something that the Fed has signaled it is looking at right now with resources getting stretched in the economy. - Jay Bryson Quotes

That's something that the Fed has signaled it is looking at right now with resources getting stretched in the economy.

If there is an 'issue' with the US external accounts, it is not the bilateral trade deficit with China but rather the overall deficit that the US incurs. After all, the large current account deficit means that the US spends more than it produces, which requires financing from abroad. - Jay Bryson Quotes

If there is an 'issue' with the US external accounts, it is not the bilateral trade deficit with China but rather the overall deficit that the US incurs. After all, the large current account deficit means that the US spends more than it produces, which requires financing from abroad.

It's not just China, it's not just oil. We spend more than we produce, end of story. - Jay Bryson Quotes

It's not just China, it's not just oil. We spend more than we produce, end of story.

It's very easy to get the trade gap to narrow, have a recession in the United States to cut spending here. But I don't think anyone wants that to happen. - Jay Bryson Quotes

It's very easy to get the trade gap to narrow, have a recession in the United States to cut spending here. But I don't think anyone wants that to happen.

When that happens, the dollar will begin to depreciate. - Jay Bryson Quotes

When that happens, the dollar will begin to depreciate.

I look at all these other indicators and say none of the others are showing recession. If he's going to make a mistake, it's going to be on being too hawkish. - Jay Bryson Quotes

I look at all these other indicators and say none of the others are showing recession. If he's going to make a mistake, it's going to be on being too hawkish.

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