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What the Fed showed was that extraordinary circumstances require an extraordinary strategy. Not only are they moving rates to lows not seen since the early '60s, they're prepared to move them a lot lower. - Anthony Chan Quotes

What the Fed showed was that extraordinary circumstances require an extraordinary strategy. Not only are they moving rates to lows not seen since the early '60s, they're prepared to move them a lot lower.

History would suggest that getting [into equity markets] a bit early is often not too costly, since the lion's share of the negative performance is generated during the first third of a recession. - Anthony Chan Quotes

History would suggest that getting [into equity markets] a bit early is often not too costly, since the lion's share of the negative performance is generated during the first third of a recession.

What's different this time is that there is a lot more stimulus now than any time in the past 50 or 60 years. I've never seen a period with so much help from both the fiscal and monetary side. - Anthony Chan Quotes

What's different this time is that there is a lot more stimulus now than any time in the past 50 or 60 years. I've never seen a period with so much help from both the fiscal and monetary side.

We still have a labor market that's deteriorating, and today's numbers epitomize that. We're going to continue to see deterioration, which will pose serious challenges to consumer confidence and keep the economy soft for another quarter or two. - Anthony Chan Quotes

We still have a labor market that's deteriorating, and today's numbers epitomize that. We're going to continue to see deterioration, which will pose serious challenges to consumer confidence and keep the economy soft for another quarter or two.

Labor

Continuing claims numbers are very closely tied to unemployment, and they are skyrocketing. - Anthony Chan Quotes

Continuing claims numbers are very closely tied to unemployment, and they are skyrocketing.

The number tells me a recession is coming, but it will be relatively mild in the wake of all the stimulus coming. But I would caution investors not to be so complacent as to think this could be bottom. It's going to be a lot uglier in the fourth quarter. - Anthony Chan Quotes

The number tells me a recession is coming, but it will be relatively mild in the wake of all the stimulus coming. But I would caution investors not to be so complacent as to think this could be bottom. It's going to be a lot uglier in the fourth quarter.

Today's comments will go a long way to dispelling the idea that the Fed is in a rush to raise short-term interest rates. - Anthony Chan Quotes

Today's comments will go a long way to dispelling the idea that the Fed is in a rush to raise short-term interest rates.

It confirms the belief that the weakness in retail sales was the result of a bunker mentality in the wake of the terrible events of Sept. 11. - Anthony Chan Quotes

It confirms the belief that the weakness in retail sales was the result of a bunker mentality in the wake of the terrible events of Sept. 11.

Certainly, we see some encouragement. We see an economy that's still weak... but not falling off the cliff. The notion that we're not going to have a recession is confirmed by these numbers. - Anthony Chan Quotes

Certainly, we see some encouragement. We see an economy that's still weak... but not falling off the cliff. The notion that we're not going to have a recession is confirmed by these numbers.

I think it's fair to say it'll be the least important or most distorted jobs report in memory. Maybe both. - Anthony Chan Quotes

I think it's fair to say it'll be the least important or most distorted jobs report in memory. Maybe both.

a level of optimism that was not dented as much as one would have expected by Hurricane Katrina. - Anthony Chan Quotes

a level of optimism that was not dented as much as one would have expected by Hurricane Katrina.

I have to come away with the view that the drop in crude prices offered the opportunity for a relief rally, although it didn't offer that much relief. - Anthony Chan Quotes

I have to come away with the view that the drop in crude prices offered the opportunity for a relief rally, although it didn't offer that much relief.

I think [the core rate] will be slower now than six to nine months ago. Business is not passing along all its additional costs. - Anthony Chan Quotes

I think [the core rate] will be slower now than six to nine months ago. Business is not passing along all its additional costs.

This shows the labor market in not overheated. And you can see that in, yes, not a lot of people are getting raises. - Anthony Chan Quotes

This shows the labor market in not overheated. And you can see that in, yes, not a lot of people are getting raises.

But it's not falling off a cliff. - Anthony Chan Quotes

But it's not falling off a cliff.

If housing is starting to weaken and manufacturing is not turning around, obviously it spells trouble for the economy. - Anthony Chan Quotes

If housing is starting to weaken and manufacturing is not turning around, obviously it spells trouble for the economy.

I still believe, and I believe this quite strongly, that the manufacturing sector will, in fact, recover. This is only one month. - Anthony Chan Quotes

I still believe, and I believe this quite strongly, that the manufacturing sector will, in fact, recover. This is only one month.

This will certainly heat up the debate at the central bank, - Anthony Chan Quotes

This will certainly heat up the debate at the central bank,

It absolutely makes tomorrow's (Thursday's) Greenspan announcement as widely anticipated as the new 'Star Wars' movie. - Anthony Chan Quotes

It absolutely makes tomorrow's (Thursday's) Greenspan announcement as widely anticipated as the new 'Star Wars' movie.

This would provide another pillar of support for the view that the economic recovery in the year ahead is likely to be gradual, - Anthony Chan Quotes

This would provide another pillar of support for the view that the economic recovery in the year ahead is likely to be gradual,

This is a report that represents judgment day for the Federal Reserve, - Anthony Chan Quotes

This is a report that represents judgment day for the Federal Reserve,

Given our forecast, we do not expect that this statistical release will have much impact on the policy debate when the Fed meets, - Anthony Chan Quotes

Given our forecast, we do not expect that this statistical release will have much impact on the policy debate when the Fed meets,

Clearly labor markets are very, very tight, - Anthony Chan Quotes

Clearly labor markets are very, very tight,

Investors will be intently listening to see if he says anything that clears up what the future monetary path is likely to be, - Anthony Chan Quotes

Investors will be intently listening to see if he says anything that clears up what the future monetary path is likely to be,

I think these numbers pretty much put a nail in the coffin of the notion that a 75 basis-point (three-quarters of a percentage point) cut will occur. I think (Fed Chairman Alan) Greenspan will get his wish for a move at the regular meeting, but they will do a 50 basis-point (half-point) cut. - Anthony Chan Quotes

I think these numbers pretty much put a nail in the coffin of the notion that a 75 basis-point (three-quarters of a percentage point) cut will occur. I think (Fed Chairman Alan) Greenspan will get his wish for a move at the regular meeting, but they will do a 50 basis-point (half-point) cut.

My suspicion is that they are really leaving the door open, at least a crack, to an inter-meeting move. - Anthony Chan Quotes

My suspicion is that they are really leaving the door open, at least a crack, to an inter-meeting move.

I think these numbers have the potential to drive the Fed to do an inter-meeting cut. The economy is slowing down, and I think we'll see more of this before it's over. - Anthony Chan Quotes

I think these numbers have the potential to drive the Fed to do an inter-meeting cut. The economy is slowing down, and I think we'll see more of this before it's over.

The unemployment rate is picking up, but it's picking up at a very slow pace, - Anthony Chan Quotes

The unemployment rate is picking up, but it's picking up at a very slow pace,

Policy makers make policy on long-term trends, ... This is temporary. Labor costs will eventually come down. - Anthony Chan Quotes

Policy makers make policy on long-term trends, ... This is temporary. Labor costs will eventually come down.

These numbers clearly tell me we have not hit bottom in the economy. - Anthony Chan Quotes

These numbers clearly tell me we have not hit bottom in the economy.

One month doesn't make a story. But it's certainly very encouraging, especially with the market worried about inflation. - Anthony Chan Quotes

One month doesn't make a story. But it's certainly very encouraging, especially with the market worried about inflation.

This gives the Fed license to continue executing monetary policy. If they see any signs of slow growth in employment, industrial production, or retail sales, they certainly have the green light to make another cut. They have total flexibility to do whatever it takes to prevent a recession. - Anthony Chan Quotes

This gives the Fed license to continue executing monetary policy. If they see any signs of slow growth in employment, industrial production, or retail sales, they certainly have the green light to make another cut. They have total flexibility to do whatever it takes to prevent a recession.

This is telling us that, moving forward, we may have bitten the bullet on the inventory overhang situation. - Anthony Chan Quotes

This is telling us that, moving forward, we may have bitten the bullet on the inventory overhang situation.

When the economy starts to pick up, you're hesitant to hire workers back until you know [the recovery is] real. - Anthony Chan Quotes

When the economy starts to pick up, you're hesitant to hire workers back until you know [the recovery is] real.

What we need to weaken the dollar is [a] European Central Bank [interest-rate] easing. That would make our relative growth level that much less than Europe's and make Europe more competitive. - Anthony Chan Quotes

What we need to weaken the dollar is [a] European Central Bank [interest-rate] easing. That would make our relative growth level that much less than Europe's and make Europe more competitive.

The overall total of nominal sales is likely to remain somewhat weak. - Anthony Chan Quotes

The overall total of nominal sales is likely to remain somewhat weak.

It's probably going to subtract 0.8 percent from [gross domestic product] growth this year. - Anthony Chan Quotes

It's probably going to subtract 0.8 percent from [gross domestic product] growth this year.

For those people hoping for a light at the end of the tunnel, this report reveals the tunnel is still under construction. - Anthony Chan Quotes

For those people hoping for a light at the end of the tunnel, this report reveals the tunnel is still under construction.

At this point, consumers can do one of two things. Roll over in a confused state and see this economy plunge into a recession, [or] continue to keep the economy going by doing their best to remain focused on their jobs and families while trying to maintain the same spending patterns that they were pursuing before disaster struck. - Anthony Chan Quotes

At this point, consumers can do one of two things. Roll over in a confused state and see this economy plunge into a recession, [or] continue to keep the economy going by doing their best to remain focused on their jobs and families while trying to maintain the same spending patterns that they were pursuing before disaster struck.

I hope and pray that consumers will work hard to stay close to the second path, ... because it is the right path to take in order to show our defiance against terrorism. - Anthony Chan Quotes

I hope and pray that consumers will work hard to stay close to the second path, ... because it is the right path to take in order to show our defiance against terrorism.

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