They've set the groundwork for a rate rise in October. They've been disappointed by how persistently high inflation is and how the economy just hasn't cooled off in a way they would've liked it to. - Stephen Koukoulas Quotes
They've set the groundwork for a rate rise in October. They've been disappointed by how persistently high inflation is and how the economy just hasn't cooled off in a way they would've liked it to. Stephen Koukoulas
 Inflation

More - Stephen Koukoulas Quotes

The unemployment rate is likely to break below 5 percent in the months ahead. It will escalate the pressure on the Reserve Bank to raise interest rates, which in turn will be a shot in the arm for the Australian dollar. - Stephen Koukoulas Quotes

The unemployment rate is likely to break below 5 percent in the months ahead. It will escalate the pressure on the Reserve Bank to raise interest rates, which in turn will be a shot in the arm for the Australian dollar.

Stephen Koukoulas

 Unemployment
The Australian dollar should be doing better in the short term because the rate differential is still supportive. - Stephen Koukoulas Quotes

The Australian dollar should be doing better in the short term because the rate differential is still supportive.

Stephen Koukoulas

 
The aim of this rise is to cause consumers to stop spending and borrowing and it will work in that direction. - Stephen Koukoulas Quotes

The aim of this rise is to cause consumers to stop spending and borrowing and it will work in that direction.

Stephen Koukoulas

 Borrowing
The news should provide support for the Australian dollar with a hint that the trade balance will continue to narrow. - Stephen Koukoulas Quotes

The news should provide support for the Australian dollar with a hint that the trade balance will continue to narrow.

Stephen Koukoulas

 
Underlying inflation is still sufficiently strong for the RBA to maintain a fairly strong bias to increase interest rates in the months ahead, although the urgency for a rate rise is not yet extreme. - Stephen Koukoulas Quotes

Underlying inflation is still sufficiently strong for the RBA to maintain a fairly strong bias to increase interest rates in the months ahead, although the urgency for a rate rise is not yet extreme.

Stephen Koukoulas

 Inflation
Australia's current account is still at an uncomfortable level. We haven't yet seen the big pickup in exports we need to generate a narrowing in the current account. - Stephen Koukoulas Quotes

Australia's current account is still at an uncomfortable level. We haven't yet seen the big pickup in exports we need to generate a narrowing in the current account.

Stephen Koukoulas

 
For the New Zealand dollar it looks like one-way traffic. The scenario for cutting rates is now realistic, if not urgent. - Stephen Koukoulas Quotes

For the New Zealand dollar it looks like one-way traffic. The scenario for cutting rates is now realistic, if not urgent.

Stephen Koukoulas

 
Retail spending is recovering nicely with a solid momentum occurring since May. - Stephen Koukoulas Quotes

Retail spending is recovering nicely with a solid momentum occurring since May.

Stephen Koukoulas

 Momentum
We are still waiting for an improvement in trade to fuel the economy. The trade deficit has been large for a long time. - Stephen Koukoulas Quotes

We are still waiting for an improvement in trade to fuel the economy. The trade deficit has been large for a long time.

Stephen Koukoulas

 Economy
The market hasn't been paying enough attention to inflation risks as it should. The prospect of an interest-rate move higher in the months ahead will mean the Australian dollar will find some friends. - Stephen Koukoulas Quotes

The market hasn't been paying enough attention to inflation risks as it should. The prospect of an interest-rate move higher in the months ahead will mean the Australian dollar will find some friends.

Stephen Koukoulas

 
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