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Most everyone has rather positive expectations for double-digit (corporate earnings) growth for the first quarter. That is already 'baked in the cake'. - Marc Pado Quotes

Most everyone has rather positive expectations for double-digit (corporate earnings) growth for the first quarter. That is already 'baked in the cake'.

The market had been ignoring the recent run in crude, brushing it off as temporary emotional buying as a hedge against economic sanctions against Iran. Whatever the reason, oil is back up against all-time highs, and that was making the markets nervous. - Marc Pado Quotes

The market had been ignoring the recent run in crude, brushing it off as temporary emotional buying as a hedge against economic sanctions against Iran. Whatever the reason, oil is back up against all-time highs, and that was making the markets nervous.

The Santa Claus rally is clearly underway. I expect to see the bulls carry the averages to new 4 1/2 year highs right into next Friday's close. - Marc Pado Quotes

The Santa Claus rally is clearly underway. I expect to see the bulls carry the averages to new 4 1/2 year highs right into next Friday's close.

But, for the most part, we're looking at a market that is in a consolidation phase after two weeks of a very strong run. - Marc Pado Quotes

But, for the most part, we're looking at a market that is in a consolidation phase after two weeks of a very strong run.

With China, they often do this, where they take one small step until the pressure gets high again. It's unlikely that China is really going to move aggressively to slow their economy. It would take aggressive moves in order to make an impact on China's growth at this point. - Marc Pado Quotes

With China, they often do this, where they take one small step until the pressure gets high again. It's unlikely that China is really going to move aggressively to slow their economy. It would take aggressive moves in order to make an impact on China's growth at this point.

China

Even though the figures were revised slightly lower, investors were relieved because the data won't provide the Fed with an excuse to continue raising rates past January. - Marc Pado Quotes

Even though the figures were revised slightly lower, investors were relieved because the data won't provide the Fed with an excuse to continue raising rates past January.

Tech might get a little direction from how people trade Cisco today. - Marc Pado Quotes

Tech might get a little direction from how people trade Cisco today.

Any time you remove uncertainty, it's good news for the market, - Marc Pado Quotes

Any time you remove uncertainty, it's good news for the market,

News

Post 'quadruple-witching', it would not be unexpected to see the market settle down a bit. - Marc Pado Quotes

Post 'quadruple-witching', it would not be unexpected to see the market settle down a bit.

Obviously the Iranian thing is a wild card and nothing's going to get resolved in the short term, but the earnings are really what's key to the market and any longer-term perspective. - Marc Pado Quotes

Obviously the Iranian thing is a wild card and nothing's going to get resolved in the short term, but the earnings are really what's key to the market and any longer-term perspective.

It's going to come down to how sales are pre-Christmas, what we hear from the retail sector, ... I would expect next week, while remaining positive, to have not as robust a move as we saw this week. - Marc Pado Quotes

It's going to come down to how sales are pre-Christmas, what we hear from the retail sector, ... I would expect next week, while remaining positive, to have not as robust a move as we saw this week.

It will impact the Dow but on broader basis it won't do much to the market. I think there are much bigger factors today such as the semiconductor index above its 200-day moving average and it faces some cautious comments out of Merrill, - Marc Pado Quotes

It will impact the Dow but on broader basis it won't do much to the market. I think there are much bigger factors today such as the semiconductor index above its 200-day moving average and it faces some cautious comments out of Merrill,

Any time you remove uncertainty, it's good news for the market. Having raised the question, the market has shifted its attention to Greenspan from earnings. - Marc Pado Quotes

Any time you remove uncertainty, it's good news for the market. Having raised the question, the market has shifted its attention to Greenspan from earnings.

News

There is very little economic news out this week, and nothing is due out today. All eyes are on the Fed. - Marc Pado Quotes

There is very little economic news out this week, and nothing is due out today. All eyes are on the Fed.

Eyes

These were reassuring statements by the Fed, ... I think what the market ultimately fears is inflation. What makes assets worth less in the long run is inflation. What the Fed is effectively saying is, 'We won't let prices get out of control.' - Marc Pado Quotes

These were reassuring statements by the Fed, ... I think what the market ultimately fears is inflation. What makes assets worth less in the long run is inflation. What the Fed is effectively saying is, 'We won't let prices get out of control.'

There was so much expectation built in for the stock ... I think that the expectations were about as high as they could get for it. I think it was a case of buy on the rumor and sell on the news. - Marc Pado Quotes

There was so much expectation built in for the stock ... I think that the expectations were about as high as they could get for it. I think it was a case of buy on the rumor and sell on the news.

We are facing a large number of Katrina-related warnings, ... The market is just coming to realize that it is going to be a tough September. - Marc Pado Quotes

We are facing a large number of Katrina-related warnings, ... The market is just coming to realize that it is going to be a tough September.

Even though yesterday's rally may have faded, the leadership, internal action, and breadth were all reasons to anticipate further upside potential heading into the seasonal year-end pattern. - Marc Pado Quotes

Even though yesterday's rally may have faded, the leadership, internal action, and breadth were all reasons to anticipate further upside potential heading into the seasonal year-end pattern.

Window dressing should focus on the groups that have done well this year. - Marc Pado Quotes

Window dressing should focus on the groups that have done well this year.

Focus

By the end of this week, the attention will shift to the December employment report and then on to earnings starting next week. By the end of the month, earnings and forward-looking projections will be what needs to step up to the plate if the market is to continue the rally. - Marc Pado Quotes

By the end of this week, the attention will shift to the December employment report and then on to earnings starting next week. By the end of the month, earnings and forward-looking projections will be what needs to step up to the plate if the market is to continue the rally.

What we need is to hear from companies that take the pulse of the consumer. Tech will be one of those groups. Retailers will be another. - Marc Pado Quotes

What we need is to hear from companies that take the pulse of the consumer. Tech will be one of those groups. Retailers will be another.

Nobody likes to fail in the fourth quarter. There are going to be companies that did well in the holiday season and they will be able to add to gains. - Marc Pado Quotes

Nobody likes to fail in the fourth quarter. There are going to be companies that did well in the holiday season and they will be able to add to gains.

It is a domino effect of negative news. - Marc Pado Quotes

It is a domino effect of negative news.

News

If you're going into the worst year of a four-year cycle and heading into one of the worst months statistically of the year, then it seems like a likely opportunity for the market to see its 10 percent correction. - Marc Pado Quotes

If you're going into the worst year of a four-year cycle and heading into one of the worst months statistically of the year, then it seems like a likely opportunity for the market to see its 10 percent correction.

If you're down 10 percent and you time it appropriately, then you could be up 18 percent at the end of the year as opposed to 8 percent. That's why I'd look at whether the economic signals corroborate the technical signals. - Marc Pado Quotes

If you're down 10 percent and you time it appropriately, then you could be up 18 percent at the end of the year as opposed to 8 percent. That's why I'd look at whether the economic signals corroborate the technical signals.

Airlines and industrials are gaining from lower oil. Discounters are responding not only to a drop in oil prices but also to Wal-Mart's statement that it will meet September sales expectations despite higher gasoline prices, - Marc Pado Quotes

Airlines and industrials are gaining from lower oil. Discounters are responding not only to a drop in oil prices but also to Wal-Mart's statement that it will meet September sales expectations despite higher gasoline prices,

The market is down as crude prices are up because of the approaching hurricane, which could hurt production, and then tomorrow's FOMC meeting is also going to be important, ... I think the Fed will do 25 basis points but then the commentary will be important and they have to open the door to a rate pause. - Marc Pado Quotes

The market is down as crude prices are up because of the approaching hurricane, which could hurt production, and then tomorrow's FOMC meeting is also going to be important, ... I think the Fed will do 25 basis points but then the commentary will be important and they have to open the door to a rate pause.

Hurt

Airlines and industrials are gaining from lower oil. Discounters are responding not only to a drop in oil prices but also to Wal-Mart's statement that it will meet September sales expectations despite higher gasoline prices. - Marc Pado Quotes

Airlines and industrials are gaining from lower oil. Discounters are responding not only to a drop in oil prices but also to Wal-Mart's statement that it will meet September sales expectations despite higher gasoline prices.

Window dressing should focus on the groups that have done well this year. Energy, technology, financials, and industrials have provided leadership. Even those groups that have underperformed for the year have picked up quite a bit in the last quarter. - Marc Pado Quotes

Window dressing should focus on the groups that have done well this year. Energy, technology, financials, and industrials have provided leadership. Even those groups that have underperformed for the year have picked up quite a bit in the last quarter.

Energy, technology, financials, and industrials have provided leadership. Even those groups that have underperformed for the year have picked up quite a bit in the last quarter. - Marc Pado Quotes

Energy, technology, financials, and industrials have provided leadership. Even those groups that have underperformed for the year have picked up quite a bit in the last quarter.

It looks like some seasonal New Year's buying will give the market a bullish start, but this January faces many negative technical obstacles. - Marc Pado Quotes

It looks like some seasonal New Year's buying will give the market a bullish start, but this January faces many negative technical obstacles.

The good jobs report bought the bulls a reprieve, and now it is up to earnings to carry the torch. We're still heading right into the seasonally weak February and March months in a bearish midterm election year with rates rising and oil prices rallying. Januaries tend to start strong, but it is how they finish that matters. - Marc Pado Quotes

The good jobs report bought the bulls a reprieve, and now it is up to earnings to carry the torch. We're still heading right into the seasonally weak February and March months in a bearish midterm election year with rates rising and oil prices rallying. Januaries tend to start strong, but it is how they finish that matters.

Jobs

It will take some strong earnings and bullish forecasts, as well as positive economic data, to keep the rally going. There are plenty of economic data and earnings releases to sway market opinion from hour to hour and day to day. Behind it all, there is the rising threat of geopolitical tensions with Iran and higher interest rates out of the Federal Reserve. - Marc Pado Quotes

It will take some strong earnings and bullish forecasts, as well as positive economic data, to keep the rally going. There are plenty of economic data and earnings releases to sway market opinion from hour to hour and day to day. Behind it all, there is the rising threat of geopolitical tensions with Iran and higher interest rates out of the Federal Reserve.

Yesterday was perhaps as technically disappointing as last Friday. - Marc Pado Quotes

Yesterday was perhaps as technically disappointing as last Friday.

The bulls had a real opportunity. Earnings continue to roll in, and for the most part they are in-line or better than expected. - Marc Pado Quotes

The bulls had a real opportunity. Earnings continue to roll in, and for the most part they are in-line or better than expected.

There is no question that the tone has turned more positive. We haven't broken out yet, but the markets are poised. Now all we need is for the news to hit the ball out of the park, and it needs to be perfect. Crude is still high and the yield curve is still flat, but the market's focus is on other things right now. - Marc Pado Quotes

There is no question that the tone has turned more positive. We haven't broken out yet, but the markets are poised. Now all we need is for the news to hit the ball out of the park, and it needs to be perfect. Crude is still high and the yield curve is still flat, but the market's focus is on other things right now.

From now on, strong economic numbers threaten another rate hike. Weak numbers point to profit disappointments. What the bull market needs is a catalyst, which would likely need to be a break in energy and basic materials prices. - Marc Pado Quotes

From now on, strong economic numbers threaten another rate hike. Weak numbers point to profit disappointments. What the bull market needs is a catalyst, which would likely need to be a break in energy and basic materials prices.

The negative productivity number we saw today about the fourth quarter raises fears that companies are not going to be able to absorb those costs. - Marc Pado Quotes

The negative productivity number we saw today about the fourth quarter raises fears that companies are not going to be able to absorb those costs.

Had it not been for the impressive January same-store sales reports, decent forward-looking statements and the big drop in energy prices, the market drop would have been far worse. With the understanding that we needed to keep our eyes on wage pressures and productivity, both of those components suddenly soured investors on the idea that the Fed was truly done. - Marc Pado Quotes

Had it not been for the impressive January same-store sales reports, decent forward-looking statements and the big drop in energy prices, the market drop would have been far worse. With the understanding that we needed to keep our eyes on wage pressures and productivity, both of those components suddenly soured investors on the idea that the Fed was truly done.

Sales

Internally, the market's bounce left something to be desired. Since the market went out on the high of the day, it should have some morning momentum left. The real question is whether or not it can be sustained without any major earnings-, economic-, or oil-moving news. - Marc Pado Quotes

Internally, the market's bounce left something to be desired. Since the market went out on the high of the day, it should have some morning momentum left. The real question is whether or not it can be sustained without any major earnings-, economic-, or oil-moving news.

It's probably going to be the one event in the afternoon that sets the tone for how we finish. - Marc Pado Quotes

It's probably going to be the one event in the afternoon that sets the tone for how we finish.

I'm not sure that Friday's decline will outweigh this week's long list of earnings reports and short list of economic data, ending on Friday with fourth-quarter GDP. Crude is making investors nervous, and by the end of the week, the FOMC meeting on the following Tuesday will also be a major cause for concern. - Marc Pado Quotes

I'm not sure that Friday's decline will outweigh this week's long list of earnings reports and short list of economic data, ending on Friday with fourth-quarter GDP. Crude is making investors nervous, and by the end of the week, the FOMC meeting on the following Tuesday will also be a major cause for concern.

Earnings will be the main focal point, although the rumbling is already starting about the upcoming FOMC meeting. - Marc Pado Quotes

Earnings will be the main focal point, although the rumbling is already starting about the upcoming FOMC meeting.

In the war of rates vs. oil, one would have to say that oil is winning out. Concerns of further rate increases are coming to fruition, yet the market has continued to push higher. Energy prices have fallen quickly and have taken out several trading support levels. - Marc Pado Quotes

In the war of rates vs. oil, one would have to say that oil is winning out. Concerns of further rate increases are coming to fruition, yet the market has continued to push higher. Energy prices have fallen quickly and have taken out several trading support levels.

While the market was still moving higher, the internals leave much to be desired. The action is not negative, just not impressive, which leads me to believe that we are in an up-trending trading range. - Marc Pado Quotes

While the market was still moving higher, the internals leave much to be desired. The action is not negative, just not impressive, which leads me to believe that we are in an up-trending trading range.

While we would like to see a follow-through day, the positive implications from yesterday's rally should help reinforce a support under the market at Tuesday's intraday lows. Weakness in same-store retail sales and continued strength in crude will represent the first obstacles for the bulls today. - Marc Pado Quotes

While we would like to see a follow-through day, the positive implications from yesterday's rally should help reinforce a support under the market at Tuesday's intraday lows. Weakness in same-store retail sales and continued strength in crude will represent the first obstacles for the bulls today.

Consolidation is a healthy development, especially in light of the pop in crude and the worsening inversion of the yield curve. - Marc Pado Quotes

Consolidation is a healthy development, especially in light of the pop in crude and the worsening inversion of the yield curve.

Overall, I think what it shows is the fourth quarter, despite good profit numbers, in terms of overall economic growth was not a very strong finish to the year. - Marc Pado Quotes

Overall, I think what it shows is the fourth quarter, despite good profit numbers, in terms of overall economic growth was not a very strong finish to the year.

Today, we're keeping an eye on the same old catalysts, rates and crude. The drop in interest rates overshadowed a rise in crude [Tuesday] . However, crude is still well entrenched in its trading range, on a long-term basis. - Marc Pado Quotes

Today, we're keeping an eye on the same old catalysts, rates and crude. The drop in interest rates overshadowed a rise in crude [Tuesday] . However, crude is still well entrenched in its trading range, on a long-term basis.

Mergers are looking to help us hold our ground today. - Marc Pado Quotes

Mergers are looking to help us hold our ground today.

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